kronikas — election forecasts that show the full range of outcomes
kronikas.eu
LaunchIndex first observed kronikas — election forecasts that show the full range of outcomes (kronikas.eu) live on 18 September 2026. View its launch screenshot, category, and verification evidence.

A launch record built from evidence.
kronikas — election forecasts that show the full range of outcomes (kronikas.eu) was first observed live on 18 September 2026.
Open-source Python package and documentation for hierarchical Bayesian election forecasting from opinion polls; shows party standings with uncertainty range.
Its profile is classified as Documentation within Technology / Analytics.
What the launch signal contained.
- First observed live
- Previous state
- No prior non-live observation
- Last verified
- Canonical host
- kronikas.eu
- Category
- Technology / Analytics
- Website type
- Documentation
- Observed title
- kronikas — election forecasts that show the full range of outcomes
- Observed description
- Free, open-source software that turns opinion polls into election forecasts: each party's likely vote share, the range around it, and the probability it finishes first — the full picture the polls support, not a single headline number.
- Detected technologies
- None detected
- Screenshot captured
- Evidence source
- Browser observation · Local
- Evidence confidence
- 93%
- HTTP status
- 200
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