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kronikas — election forecasts that show the full range of outcomes

kronikas.eu

LaunchIndex first observed kronikas — election forecasts that show the full range of outcomes (kronikas.eu) live on 18 September 2026. View its launch screenshot, category, and verification evidence.

Screenshot of kronikas.eu
Captured September 18, 2026 16:17 as part of the recorded launch evidence.
Observed launch story

A launch record built from evidence.

kronikas — election forecasts that show the full range of outcomes (kronikas.eu) was first observed live on 18 September 2026.

Open-source Python package and documentation for hierarchical Bayesian election forecasting from opinion polls; shows party standings with uncertainty range.

Its profile is classified as Documentation within Technology / Analytics.

Recorded evidence

What the launch signal contained.

First observed live
Previous state
No prior non-live observation
Last verified
Canonical host
kronikas.eu
Category
Technology / Analytics
Website type
Documentation
Observed title
kronikas — election forecasts that show the full range of outcomes
Observed description
Free, open-source software that turns opinion polls into election forecasts: each party's likely vote share, the range around it, and the probability it finishes first — the full picture the polls support, not a single headline number.
Detected technologies
None detected
Screenshot captured
Evidence source
Browser observation · Local
Evidence confidence
93%
HTTP status
200
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